Sunday, November 28, 2010

MWC Predictions Recap, 2010 Week Thirteen

I said: TCU 45, New Mexico 3
Actual: TCU 66, New Mexico 17
Note: Thanks to Boise State's loss, this win seals the spectacular for TCU.  They will receive an invite to the Rose Bowl at the very least, and possibly even the National Championship game.  A few years back, this would never have been thought possible: the Rose Bowl would never have done that and no non-BCS team would have the schedule to get there (I don't believe TCU had it, but given that there are no other unbeatens, they might have a good enough one to get there).  In the preseason I thought TCU would drop a game this year, either SMU, Baylor, or Oregon State, but they survived all 3 of those games and went 12-0.  Good for them.  Back-to-back 1-11 seasons for New Mexico: not much good to say about that one.

I said: SDSU 41, UNLV 17
Actual: SDSU 48, UNLV 14
Note: UNLV still has one more loss on the schedule at Hawaii, so they get to finish with 11 losses as well.  Bad year.  SDSU finished 8-4, with all four losses being by single-digits, three of them on the road.  If Hoke sticks around for another year (highly doubtful in my opinion), next year they have a real shot at getting what by now is nearly an annual BCS bid for a non-AQ.  TCU and Boise State will be rebuilding somewhat.  I would venture to say that a 10-2 MWC Champion will probably be in the top 16 in the Final BCS Standings and be really close to earning an automatic BCS bid.  An 11-1 team would almost certainly be in the top 12 and get it automatically.  SDSU could be that team.  The "big if" being if Hoke stays around...

By my count, that's 52-8 on the season for MWC schools not named BYU (with BYU I went a less-than-stellar 7-5, but they had a less-than-stellar 6-6 season, so it's about even).

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