Friday, February 11, 2011

MWC Preview, 2/12/2011

SDSU at UNLV
This is a must-win for UNLV.  Their tournament resume is getting worse each week.  They could easily lose three more regular season games.  They need to get this one.  Plus, they lost a close one in San Diego and are probably itching for a little payback.  SDSU, on the other hand, has been finding ways to win.  They have been streaky, even with all of the wins, playing a lot of less-than-stellar games.  UNLV is the type that can take advantage of SDSU not playing well, particularly at home.  Both teams have streaky shooters: SDSU makes up for it with strong defense and stellar offensive rebounding, UNLV makes up for it with high-pressure defense and a huge homecourt advantage.  I'm going with the home team over the potentially thin Aztecs (Chase Tapley is a game-time decision: averaging 23 minutes and 9 points/game).  Rebels rise to the occasion, lock in on an NCAA Tournament bid: UNLV 67, SDSU 58

TCU at Wyoming
Battle for last place...Wyoming has been playing teams tough.  TCU has played bad teams tough, and been blown out by everyone else.  Cowboys 71, Horned Frogs 60

New Mexico at Colorado State
Another game with huge implications on the MWC seeding.  New Mexico is 1-3 on the road in MWC play.  CSU is 3-2 at home.  New Mexico is playing better of late.  Colorado State needs this game in a bad way.  The home crowd will spur them on with a sense of urgency.  In the end, the MWC is still a tough league to get a road win in, and it's tough to go against the Rams as such.  While SDSU and New Mexico are both capable of pulling off road wins, I think the homecourt helps the home team shoot a bit better in these toss-up games.  I'm probably going to be wrong on both...Rams 75, Lobos 69

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