SEC: Mo's 2014 Prediction

It's going to be a fun season to watch the SEC.  I don't believe top-to-bottom the SEC has been far and away the best conference in America for years and years like ESPN has been touting for 8 years now.  Their champion has been the best team in America over that time period.  But until this year, I haven't seen the middle of the SEC as strong as they like to think it is.  There really are 10 solid teams this year.  I think the 8th best team in the SEC could compete for a conference title in every other league in America.  I don't think they'd win it, but they'd compete.

Here is how my model rates the SEC teams, followed by conference standings.

Auburn	1
South Carolina	6
Alabama	8
Georgia	12
Ole Miss	13
LSU	17
Missouri	21
Texas A&M	24
Mississippi St	26
Florida	36
Arkansas	52
Vanderbilt	57
Kentucky	79
Tennessee	83

West
Auburn	7-1
LSU	6-2
Ole Miss	6-2
Alabama	6-2
Mississippi State	4-4
Texas A&M	3-5
Arkansas	0-8
East
South Carolina	7-1
Missouri	6-2
Georgia	5-3
Florida	3-5
Vanderbilt	2-6
Tennessee	1-7
Kentucky	0-8

Auburn beats South Carolina for the SEC Title.  It'll be interesting to see how the College Football Playoff Selection Committee treats a 1-loss SEC champion.  It seems almost a certainty that the SEC champ will have one loss.  South Carolina has the best chance to go undefeated, but would have to win a game at Auburn to do it.  Auburn plays 5 games that my model says will be decided by a touchdown or less.  South Carolina only plays 2 such games (but one of them is at Auburn).  I guess you could say my model doesn't like either of their chances to go undefeated.