Thursday, August 21, 2014

ACC: Mo's 2014 Predictions

I'm starting to run out of time to give a brief run-down on every team, so I'll just post the ratings and conference record of every team, as based on my model, starting with the ACC.

Florida State 2
Louisville 22
Miami 28
Duke 38
Clemson 40
Virginia Tech 43
Syracuse 50
North Carolina 63
Georgia Tech 70
Boston College 71
NC State 73
Pittsburgh 75
Virginia 86
Wake Forest 115

Atlantic
Florida State 8-0
Louisville 7-1
Clemson 6-2
Syracuse 4-4
NC State 3-5
Boston College 2-6
Wake Forest 0-8
Coastal
Duke 7-1
Miami 6-2
Virginia Tech 6-2
North Carolina 4-4
Pitt 2-6
Georgia Tech 1-7
Virginia 0-8

I don't agree with the Georgia Tech record necessarily.  It figures to be somewhat of a rebuilding season and they have 3 games on the road against ACC teams they would beat on a neutral field.  My model has those as close games, but all losses.  In reality, I think they'll pull off one or two of those along with another "upset" but some teams never figure out how to win on the road: if that is GT's lot this season then it could be a long one.  Duke isn't the best team in the ACC Coastal, but they have the most favorable schedule: they avoid Florida State, Louisville, and Clemson from the Atlantic Division and get Virginia Tech at home.  If Louisville can start the season off with a win against Miami, I like that 7-1 conference record as they play 4 straight easy games after that and can gain confidence for a young QB and young defense.  If they lose that, then I'd flip them with Clemson.

On a side note, Notre Dame goes 3-1 against the ACC, losing at Florida State while pulling off wins at home against North Carolina and Louisville while beating Syracuse on a neutral field.

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