The MWC sure has gone downhill lately. There is talk of Hawaii dissolving football altogether. After turning down multiple suitors for the last 5 years, Chris Peterson finally left Boise State: did he see the writing on the wall? Boise was trending slowly downward and the MWC was doing so more quickly. My model has them sliding below CUSA as the 8th best conference (or 3rd worst), with half the conference settling in the bottom 30 of all college football teams. Still, there is always some intrigue in the MWC with the triumvirate of Fresno State, Boise State, and Utah State. My model predicts the winner of the final regular season game between Utah State and Boise State to win the Mountain Division. The home field advantage gives Boise the close win. Fresno State, by virtue of higher BCS ranking, hosts the championship game where the home field gives them a win and a berth in the Vegas Bowl.
| Fresno St |
39 |
| Boise St |
47 |
| Utah St |
55 |
| San Diego St |
72 |
| Nevada |
74 |
| UNLV |
88 |
| Wyoming |
102 |
| Colorado St |
104 |
| New Mexico |
107 |
| San Jose St |
108 |
| Air Force |
116 |
| Hawaii |
122 |
| West |
| Fresno State |
7-1 |
| Nevada |
6-2 |
| SDSU |
5-3 |
| UNLV |
4-4 |
| SJSU |
2-6 |
| Hawaii |
0-8 |
| Mountain |
| Boise State |
8-0 |
| Utah State |
7-1 |
| Colorado State |
4-4 |
| Wyoming |
3-5 |
| Air Force |
1-7 |
| New Mexico |
1-7 |
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