Thursday, August 21, 2014

Last and Least: Mo's 2014 Sun Belt Conference Predictions

ULL 18
South Alabama 92
ULM 97
Arkansas St 100
Appalachian St 101
Texas St 105
Troy 112
Georgia Southern 113
Idaho 117
NMSU 125
Georgia St 128

ULL 8-0
Arkansas State 6-2
Appalachian State 6-2
ULM 5-3
South Alabama 5-3
Texas State 5-3
Georgia Southern 4-4
Idaho 2-6
Troy 2-6
Georgia State 1-7
NMSU 0-8

My model likes Louisiana Lafayette.  Road games at Ole Miss and Boise State will be a challenge but I don't see anyone else in the conference with the combination of experience and experience at winning (a proxy for talent, or as much as can be said for a Sun Belt team).  Arkansas State and Appalachian State are the only other two teams my model predicts to win 7+ games (an unwritten rule for Sun Belt teams to go bowling).

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