Saturday, October 13, 2012

Oregon State at BYU Prediction, 10/13/2012

This is the least bad offense BYU's D will have faced all season long.  In fact, it's almost borderline good.  At least through the air.  This will test the secondary in a way they haven't really been all season.  Washington State was a pass-heavy attack, but didn't have the rhythm or the offensive line to be efficient against BYU.  Oregon State does, even with the backup QB.

Defensively, the Beaver front 7 will do everything it can to make Riley Nelson a throwing QB.  They will shut down the run.  They will keep Riley contained.  BYU has had struggles on O and this D is on par with, and potentially even better than, the ones that have stopped BYU in the past few games (Utah, Boise State, and Utah State).  How much of a difference will a healthy Riley Nelson make?  Not enough, I fear.

I think the BYU offense COULD potentially have a bit of a breakout game, but, at the same time, I don't trust Riley and the young RBs to take care of the ball.  3 turnovers and BYU loses.  0-1 turnovers and BYU could potentially win by double digits.  So I'll go ahead and predict 2 turnovers and a very tightly contested football game.

Oregon State 20, BYU 17.

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