Well, in case I don't get to give a detailed write-up why I think BYU will beat Texas Christian University tomorrow prior to the game, let me briefly say: BYU 31, TCU 10.
I think TCU certainly has a chance to win this game, but they haven't been able to come up with a big play on offense in a while now. They are turning it over with high frequency. They must clean that up.
They have been very stout against the run, and I don't discount that, being number 1 in the country in anything is impressive. However, they aren't playing a lot of teams committed to establishing the run, and when they played New Mexico they still had their starting QB, so they didn't establish the run as much as they have recently.
If BYU is not disciplined on defense, the TCU half-misdirection/half-option offense will be able to generate some big plays. I think BYU will be disciplined, however. Also, they will throw the ball ad nauseam until the run opens up, and if it never opens up, they will keep passing. If BYU doesn't turn the ball over, the points will come. If TCU doesn't turn the ball over, it's not certain that the points will come. That's why I give BYU the advantage. The only way it doesn't go their way is if they lose the turnover battle. Comparing the two teams, I'd say BYU is more likely to force turnovers and TCU is more apt to give it up as well. Again, BYU 31, TCU 10.
Wow, I'm scared to death of this game, and you've picked us to win by 3 touchdowns. Thanks for luring me into a (false?) sense of security.
ReplyDeleteI don't think it will be a blowout, I just think BYU pulls away and TCU has to go frantic and turns it over playing out of their element late.
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