Monday, November 9, 2009

What's with the MWC

This week, Game Day heads to Fort Worth for the showdown between TCU and Utah. Three weeks back they headed to Provo and last week they were at the Air Force Academy. Three trips from Game Day to MWC schools. Maybe THIS will put some pressure on the MWC to get their TV deals worked out. ESPN is bringing notoriety and publicity to the conference, it's time for the University Presidents to get on board and get something done that will help sustain it.

I really believe TCU will win this game, and win it big. If they win out, they will more than likely finish in the top 3 in the BCS standings (unless Florida's only loss is in the SEC Championship Game to an undefeated Alabama team: I think they would probably jump Bama if Bama's only loss is to Florida). There are certainly possibilities of moving into the top 2, but I think it unlikely. I think if Texas lost, they could jump them, assuming it was to a very inferior opponent, perhaps needing to be in the Big 12 Championship game. Any loss prior to that could be overcome with a win in the Big 12 Championship. As far as jumping Alabama or Florida, they won't jump the SEC champion, unless that team happens to lose TWICE before that game. As with Texas, the team that wins the SEC championship game will be able to overcome an earlier loss, should they have one.

I think Cincinnati will be out of this discussion: I believe they will lose either this weekend to West Virginia or at Pittsburgh on December 5th. Boise State does get a 13th game, which might help a little, except that their extra game was played against a I-AA opponent (because they didn't decide to actually play the NCAA-approved 13th game until it was too late to get a I-A opponent), so I don't think TCU has to be worried about getting past from behind. Even Georgia Tech running the table probably wouldn't be enough to pass TCU. No big games left on the schedule: including the ACC championship game, which would, at best, be against Clemson, who entered the top 25 this week for the first time since early last year. I am not sure Clemson can survive the game against rival South Carolina, so they probably won't be ranked by then anyway...Both teams have already defeated Clemson.

2 comments:

  1. When you first mentioned the exhibition game past and the one coming up I thought you were referring to the football team with WYO and N Mex games. Magnusson was a big cog in SLCC's national championship run last year. Surprised to read he isn't that good. Good analysis of the team. We will compete in the conference, get to a tournament and then lose. Any ?'s.

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  2. Win the conference (though UNLV does scare me a bit with some of their younger talent/transfers, if they get rolling by January, watch out for them), win in the first round after getting a 6-seed, then lose bad in round two.

    Magnusson might be good, but I don't think he'll be a mainstay in the lineup this year. I wouldn't be surprised to see him redshirt: he's the third best guy at his position right now, but could start the following two years.

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