MWC Bowl Outlook

3 teams are bowl eligible: TCU, Utah, and BYU. Air Force is one win away, with games against Army, UNLV, and BYU. It's very likely they go 2-1, to finish 7-5. The MWC has 4 bowl tie-ins, and looks to have 4 solid bowl teams.

TCU is currently in line to go to a BCS game, leaving 3 "for sure" teams to fill 4 bowl spots. San Diego State and Wyoming are both 4-4, but both have to play 2 of the "Big Three" still and both are currently 0-1 against them. I anticipate that will take each of their loss totals to 6, meaning they have to go 2-0 in their other games to get to that 6th win. Since they play each other, only one of them will have a real chance at getting bowl eligible. If SDSU wins the head-to-head, they just have to beat UNLV on the road to get to 6 wins. However, last year, UNLV just needed to beat lowly SDSU to get bowl eligible and the Aztecs spoiled the party. Payback sucks. If Wyoming wins the head-to-head, they have to beat rival Colorado State on the road. That is certainly a possibility, especially considering CSU's play of late. Both UNLV and Colorado State are 3-6 and COULD get bowl eligible by winning the rest of their games. However, they play each other (game at UNLV). UNLV plays at Air Force still. CSU has that game with Wyoming and travels to winless New Mexico.
Barring SDSU upsetting Utah or Wyoming knocking off BYU, I don't think any of those 4 teams will actually get to 6 wins. If I had to pick one, San Diego State gets the edge in my book: beating Wyoming at home and UNLV on the road will be an easier task than Wyoming winning at SDSU and at CSU. CSU and UNLV will not win 3 straight to get eligible: take that to the bank. In reality, I think the MWC will have 4 bowl teams, but may not fill its 4 bowl slots if TCU goes BCS bowling.

The bowls pick teams in the following order: Las Vegas, Poinsettia, Armed Forces, and Humanitarian. Utah goes to Vegas against Pac 10 5th place: Stanford or Oregon State I think. BYU goes to the Poinsettia against Pac 10 6th place: Stanford or Oregon State. Air Force to the Armed Forces Bowl against a C-USA team, which I don't even want to attempt to venture a guess at. SDSU, or Wyoming should either get bowl eligible, would go to the Humanitarian Bowl against a WAC opponent, likely to be Nevada or Idaho. Since the Humanitarian Bowl is played in Boise, Idaho, my guess is they would do everything they can to get Idaho for its first bowl game in over a decade.
If TCU goes to a BCS game, the MWC goes 2-1 (or 2-2 with SDSU, 3-1 with Wyoming) in non-BCS games. I can't venture a guess on the outcome of TCU's BCS game since I have no idea what bowl they would play in or whom they would be playing. If TCU does not go to a BCS Bowl, the MWC goes 4-0 as you shift everyone down one game: TCU/Utah to Vegas, TCU/Utah to Poinsettia, BYU to Armed Forces, Air Force to Humanitarian, where all of them emerge victorious.