Monday, September 28, 2009

A few thoughts

First, I hate being right. Matt Asiata (Utah RB), who I said would not last until the BYU game because he would get hurt carrying the ball 35 times a game, suffered a season-ending ACL tear while jumping up to celebrate a TD against Louisville. Tough luck. Utah will adapt without him I'm sure, but he was the one who carried the offense this season when they were otherwise struggling.

Second, EVERYONE has called the race for BCS buster a 3-horse race. Obviously if Boise State, TCU, or Houston wins out, one of them will go to a BCS game. But if all of them lose one game, it would seem that Utah and BYU would both have a chance to get into the top 12 by winning out (especially because they would have to do so at the expense of the other and TCU). BYU currently has 9 spots to climb in the Coaches Poll with 8 games left (plus with games against OU Florida State, TCU, and Utah, their computer ranking will probably be higher than their actual ranking). Utah has a little further to go, but if they win at TCU and at BYU, while going 11-1, they will be a top 12 team. The odds are that both Boise State and Houston will both slip up somewhere since they both have to play 13 games this season. TCU has to win at BYU and beat Utah at home to stay undefeated. I doubt we will see any undefeated BCS buster, but I do believe we will have a non-BCS team qualify for an automatic bid.

Third, what a great weekend of college football it was. Several games decided in the last minute, a couple of top 10 upsets, several other top 25 teams losing. I expect similar results this weekend with 3 top 10 teams hitting the road against top 25 opponents. All in all, 12 top 25 teams are on the road this weekend. Only 3 games, however, pit ranked teams together this weekend.

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