CSU-BYU Pregame thoughts

CSU wants to run the ball up the middle. BYU may be a little weak there right now after giving up over 300+ on the ground last game and they are going to be short at least a starting NT, possibly a starting MLB as well. Advantage CSU run game.

BYU wants to throw the ball around the field, averaging over 330 yards/game through the air. CSU is 88th in pass defense, and they haven't even played anybody yet who can throw it around like BYU. Advantage BYU pass game.

BYU's D got torched for 54 points last game. CSU's O is coming off a 35-point effort. Advantage CSU offense.

CSU's D is giving up a shade under 3 TDs a game against average offenses. BYU's above average offense is scoring just under 5 TDs. Advantage BYU offense.

CSU is +7 in turnover margin. BYU is -4. Advantage CSU.

CSU and BYU both have similar net punting. CSU is 80% on field goals, BYU is 67%. CSU hasn't done well at returning kicks. BYU has been even worse. Slight advantage CSU.

CSU is 1-0 on the road. BYU is 0-1 at home. BYU is better than CSU's previous road opponent (Colorado). CSU is worse than BYU's previous home opponent (Florida State). Advantage LaVell Edwards Stadium/BYU.

Points will be scored. The ball will be moved. Special teams will leave something to be desired. And defenses need not apply. All in all, this should be a fun game for fans: how enjoyable is just a question of who you are rooting for. I think CSU is in a better mental state than BYU right now, but BYU is a better football team physically right now. Two years ago, CSU didn't think they could win this game. This year, they believe they can. Two years ago, BYU didn't think they could lose this game. This year, they know they can. BYU hasn't lost a conference home game since the Holy War against Utah 4 years ago. However, BYU was reminded last week that playing at home doesn't guarantee a W.

Last year, BYU won the game on a last-minute TD, taking the game in Fort Collins 45-42. This year, I expect the home crowd to help the recently-humbled Cougars pull away a little bit earlier. BYU 41, CSU 28.