2015 Week 2 Rankings

Some big movers and shakers this week.  It was a decent weekend for college football, with BYU obviously, and rightly, dominating the weekend circuit.  Not much movement in the top 10, Florida State jumped idle LSU, loser Michigan, UCLA with a somewhat blah win over a somewhat blah P5 team, and FCS-beater Missouri.  Dropping out of the top 25 were Stanford, North Carolina, and Wisconsin (all lost).  California, Oklahoma State, and Boise State replaced those 3.  Michigan's loss at Utah didn't drop them out of the top 25.  Wyoming maintained the worst in FBS title this week after losing to an FCS school.  Kansas remains the worst P5 school, with Virginia and Colorado a few bad losses away from giving them a run for their money.  My guess is Kansas will see UVA and CU's bad losses and raise them a few.

The model had BYU covering the spread but losing, which is what it looked like would happen after 59 minutes after 59 seconds of football.  This week, it's basically a pick'em with Boise State, so the home field advantage gives BYU a 4.5-point edge.  If I reworked the preseason model to account for the injury to Taysom Hill, this would be a true pick'em, even with BYU's home-field edge.  My prediction is that this will be a blowout.  I haven't decided which way I think it will go yet.  Either BYU rides the wave of momentum from Nebraska, while the deficiencies Boise had against Washington get exploited by the Cougar Receivers and Front 7.  Or BYU is exhausted from the physical and mental exhaustion of Nebraska and losing Taysom, Linehan comes back down to earth, the running game continues to struggle against quality opponents and Boise cleans things up, forces BYU's D to tackle in space, attacks Tanner Mangum successfully, and stifles the BYU offense.  I think the latter is more likely to occur as of this sitting but I have all week to watch BYU highlights, put on my goggles, and drink some Kool-Aid.  By the bye, I cannot endorse the new BYUTV special Inside BYU Football enough.  Absolutely awesome show.  Anyone who can watch Mitch and Taysom meet up in the locker room after the game and not tear up is one heartless son of a Ute.  Here is the link to the latest episode.

Team	Rating	Rank	Prior
TCU	0.7091	1	1
Ohio St	0.7015	2	3
Michigan St	0.6970	3	2
USC	0.6795	4	5
Oregon	0.6744	5	4
Baylor	0.6730	6	6
Alabama	0.6654	7	7
Mississippi	0.6595	8	8
Florida St	0.6590	9	13
UCLA	0.6547	10	10
Missouri	0.6496	11	9
Georgia	0.6414	12	15
Utah	0.6382	13	16
Tennessee	0.6335	14	19
LSU	0.6292	15	12
Arkansas	0.6247	16	18
Notre Dame	0.6233	17	21
Georgia Tech	0.6204	18	20
Texas A&M	0.6181	19	24
Oklahoma	0.6151	20	23
Michigan	0.6123	21	11
California	0.6065	22	26
Oklahoma St	0.6061	23	28
Arizona St	0.6039	24	14
Boise St	0.6027	25	29
BYU	0.6009	26	32
South Carolina	0.5997	27	31
Auburn	0.5876	28	35
West Virginia	0.5872	29	38
Texas Tech	0.5864	30	30
Stanford	0.5811	31	17
Utah St	0.5771	32	33
NC State	0.5760	33	41
Mississippi St	0.5718	34	43
North Carolina	0.5693	35	22
Arizona	0.5687	36	40
N Illinois	0.5686	37	37
Kansas St	0.5675	38	42
Wisconsin	0.5669	39	25
WKU	0.5634	40	47
Kentucky	0.5596	41	46
Nebraska	0.5563	42	27
Navy	0.5501	43	49
Ohio	0.5470	44	50
Virginia Tech	0.5432	45	34
Cincinnati	0.5428	46	51
Northwestern	0.5425	47	58
Pittsburgh	0.5383	48	52
Clemson	0.5379	49	54
Temple	0.5355	50	62
Minnesota	0.5350	51	39
Duke	0.5336	52	60
Penn St	0.5294	53	36
Appalachian St	0.5242	54	63
Middle Tenn	0.5241	55	64
Iowa	0.5238	56	61
Memphis	0.5216	57	67
Bowling Green	0.5201	58	44
Miami, FL	0.5186	59	68
Iowa St	0.5176	60	69
Vanderbilt	0.5140	61	45
East Carolina	0.5132	62	65
Louisiana Tech	0.5087	63	73
Texas	0.5066	64	48
Ball St	0.5057	65	70
Marshall	0.5025	66	76
Houston	0.4989	67	74
Louisville	0.4986	68	53
Florida	0.4979	69	81
Washington	0.4958	70	55
Maryland	0.4943	71	78
Colorado St	0.4926	72	80
Toledo	0.4906	73	71
Illinois	0.4879	74	59
Purdue	0.4858	75	57
Syracuse	0.4854	76	84
Georgia Southern	0.4841	77	56
San Diego St	0.4833	78	83
Tulsa	0.4792	79	85
Louisiana	0.4778	80	66
Massachusetts	0.4769	81	75
Rutgers	0.4730	82	89
Indiana	0.4703	83	86
Oregon St	0.4606	84	91
Wake Forest	0.4531	85	92
Charlotte	0.4520	86	96
Arkansas St	0.4502	87	77
W Michigan	0.4500	88	82
Old Dominion	0.4492	89	95
Washington St	0.4481	90	72
Texas St	0.4477	91	79
Boston College	0.4410	92	97
Buffalo	0.4361	93	99
New Mexico	0.4346	94	102
Air Force	0.4320	95	101
Cent Mich	0.4296	96	87
Rice	0.4295	97	100
FIU	0.4251	98	108
Colorado	0.4210	99	88
Fresno St	0.4186	100	106
San Jose St	0.4185	101	111
UCF	0.4153	102	90
USF	0.4127	103	113
Akron	0.4082	104	93
SMU	0.4072	105	94
Virginia	0.4046	106	98
Connecticut	0.3988	107	114
Hawaii	0.3958	108	117
Troy	0.3789	109	105
North Texas	0.3764	110	116
Tulane	0.3761	111	104
New Mexico St	0.3743	112	103
Southern Miss	0.3725	113	109
Georgia St	0.3719	114	107
Nevada	0.3706	115	119
UTEP	0.3700	116	112
South Alabama	0.3699	117	120
Kent St	0.3657	118	110
Kansas	0.3480	119	115
FAU	0.3339	120	118
ULM	0.3289	121	121
Miami, OH	0.3123	122	127
UTSA	0.3088	123	123
Army	0.3035	124	122
Idaho	0.2938	125	124
UNLV	0.2844	126	126
E Michigan	0.2821	127	125
Wyoming	0.2381	128	128