Mo's Predicted Conference Standings: ACC

ACC Coastal:
1. Miami
2. Georgia Tech
3. Virginia Tech
4. North Carolina
5. Pittsburgh
6. Virginia
7. Duke
Thoughts: This division has ties for 2nd and 6th place, broken by head-to-head.  Basically, Virginia Tech and Duke are better than Georgia Tech and Virginia, but they lose a close road game b/c they aren't that much better, according to the model.  The model has Duke's loss at Virginia leaving it one game short of making a bowl: but I think Duke does play in a bowl game this year.  Miami is definitely a favorite of the model.  Their lone predicted loss in the entire season is a 5-point road game at Florida State.  The model gives them close wins at home against Florida and at North Carolina.  A home game against Virginia Tech and a game at Pittsburgh are also predicted as single-digit games.  The game against the Hokies is a one-score affair, where Pittsburgh is projected to lose at home by 9 points.

ACC Atlantic:
1. Clemson
2. Florida State
3. NC State
4. Boston College
5. Syracuse
6. Wake Forest
7. Maryland
Thoughts: Clemson is the favorite to win the division, but Miami is the favorite to win the ACC Title game.  Similar to the Coastal division, Florida State is actually rated higher than Clemson but loses a close road game.  Clemson does lose to Georgia and at South Carolina and is a 3-point winner at NC State.  That seems reasonable to me.  In my model's scenario, the ACC would love to see Miami win the Title game since they would be 1-0 against the SEC and Clemson would be 0-2.  Personally, I'd have thought BC would be a little lower and Maryland would win at least one game in the ACC.  As it is, the model has Maryland in a virtual tie with Kansas as the worst BCS conference team.

The model has North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Boston College, Duke, Virginia, Wake Forest, and Syracuse all essentially equal in terms of rating.  The games between those schools (and the projected standing/record) is entirely decided by the location of the game. Wake Forest has the bad luck of playing BC and Cuse on the road...Duke has even worse luck as it plays at Virginia, at Wake Forest, and at North Carolina.