Thursday, December 3, 2009

Under the radar vs. overrated

Well, a lot rides on this game tonight between the Beavers and the Ducks. I like Oregon here though this is their first weeknight prime time game in quite some time, where the Beavers have had several Thursday night showdowns in recent years. This game usually comes down to the team with the better offense: doesn't sound quite right, especially when a championship is on the line. But typically with this game: fireworks matter more than big hits. Oregon has the better offense right now.

One team wins and goes to the Rose Bowl. Oregon State could fall as far as the Vegas Bowl (for the 5th place Pac 10 team). Oregon would only fall to the Holiday Bowl. So Oregon State certainly has a lot more to lose. Both teams are pretty experienced and have played on big stages before: both teams have flopped in the big game as well as have pulled off the big ones. I like the Ducks, because it makes Boise State's case better! OK, so that's not a real reason to pick one team over another, but how unfair would it be if Boise State goes undefeated, dominating the Pac 10 champ who lost another game in addition to the one they dropped to the Broncos, and doesn't go to a BCS game. They would have a legitimate gripe on the system: two consecutive undefeated seasons and ZERO BCS bowl games. They can't do much more than that.

Ducks win by outscoring you. The Beavers will have to match them score for the score: first one to kick a field goal or punt loses! Oregon State has done plenty of scoring, but Oregon gets to 42 first and takes this version of the Civil War.

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