I had a feeling

Well, college hoops has started. BYU was a near-unanimous pick to win the MWC. UNLV and New Mexico were picked 3rd and 5th, respectively. I found that a little scary, given the amazing talent both of these schools were bringing in through freshmen AND several transfers from BCS schools. Now, two weeks into the season, it appears I might have been right about those two. Meanwhile, BYU's road woes continued last night with a loss to Utah State. I can count on ONE finger the number of decent-to-pretty-good teams that BYU has beaten on the road in the Dave Rose era. So to lose by 9 at Utah State was not surprising at all.

On the other hand, you have UNLV and New Mexico beating top 25 teams in the past week and UNLV beating Arizona on the road, who may not be a top 25 team, but they will certainly thump BYU when they host them in a few weeks. Utah, who was picked fourth has continued to be a Jekyll and Hyde: beating Illinois and Utah State, but losing to Idaho and Weber State. That's not the recipe to win an MWC championship. To win the MWC you need two things: consistency and road wins. BYU looks consistent, but lacks the ability to win on the road. UNLV, on the other hand, has been playing with greater consistency and beating quality teams at home and on the road. New Mexico hasn't exactly played lights out competition as of yet, and has not played anyone of note on the road, but knocking off a top 25 team is something that few MWC schools have been able to accomplish thus far (UNLV and Utah). The competition gets tougher for them soon, we'll see how they respond. My guess is that first conference road game (at SDSU), it starts to head south.

San Diego State has looked a lot like BYU: win at home against subpar competition, lose on the road to (or need OT to win against) any half-decent team. My predictions on how the MWC goes this year:
UNLV
BYU
New Mexico
San Diego State
Utah
TCU
Air Force
Colorado State
Wyoming