I would argue that the Boise State-TCU game has the potential to be the fourth best bowl of the bowl season. The best non-BCS offense against the best non-BCS defense. I think this could be better than 3 of the 5 BCS games.
BUT, I also think TCU could get the beating of a lifetime. Boise State's defense does not get as much pub as the O, but they have performed just as well, and better at times. TCU's offense is serviceable, but I look at what they did against Utah and Oklahoma and think: they could struggle to score against the Broncos. I believe they will need at least 28 points to win this game. Consider the BYU game, where they dominated the entire game: they forced 3 and outs and turnovers, constantly had good field position...and scored only 32 points...not to mention that was against the BYU defense. They scored 10 against Utah and Oklahoma. Boise State's defense isn't on par with those two teams, but they aren't that much behind.
TCU's defense has only faced one really, truly proficient (and consistent) offense all season and gave up 35 to Oklahoma. Boise State's offense hasn't really faced a defense like TCU's there aren't many like theirs), but they have not had trouble scoring. The trick plays may not work quite as well, but it's all about timing. Remember, they only used 3 trick plays against OU in the Fiesta Bowl, and they were all perfectly timed and worked to perfection.
Both teams want to make a statement. I think the Broncos win, and I think they are the ones that surprise TCU, not TCU surprising Boise State. Final score: 31-20. Boise State IS the best non-BCS team. I think it's a toss-up for second between TCU and Utah. You could give the edge to Utah due to head-to-head, but on a neutral field, I believe that TCU wins that game.
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