Saturday, November 8, 2008

Weekend games

Let's see if I do any good this week (I'm 4 for 6 so far-TCU and Fresno State missed):

Texas over Baylor, 45-24. Baylor is much improved, but not THAT improved. Colt McCoy for 400+ and 5 TDs. After struggling two weeks in a row, Robert Griffin had a stellar performance against Missouri last week, the kid's only 18 years old! He'll move the ball and put some points on the board, but they'll fall well short today.
Western Michigan over Illinois, 27-24. Illinois should win this game but I have no confidence in their defense. Besides, they always disappoint me, so if I pick them to lose, they'll win and I'm OK with that.
Boise State over Utah State, 45-13. Utah State is moving in the right direction, unfortunately, Boise State had a huge head start down that path. I hope Utah State keeps Brent Guy! I hope Boise State can hang on to Chris Peterson with all of the high profile jobs opening up. Then again, he is so loved in Boise, it'd be tough to draw him away (i.e. it'd take a LOT of money).
Penn State over Iowa, 20-10. Iowa plays tough, but they don't have the horses to pull off the upset, even at home. This will be a defensive battle.
Oklahoma over Texas A&M, 56-27. Another replay game: they score in the 50's and give up in the 20's. This is getting old.
Clemson over Florida State, 23-20. A typical ACC game: two not very good teams, playing in a low scoring game decided by missed field goal late.
Oregon over Stanford (this one's for you Anna), 31-17. Oregon has a pretty good team. The defense is better than usual. The offense has more dogs, but they lack continuity at the quarterback position due to injuries (of course, if you have a spread option attack, you put the QB at risk). Stanford has a decent D, but look for Oregon to move the ball on them.
UCLA over Oregon State, 27-24. This is for Cougar fans who are lamenting their team's performance. The team you killed beats the team that Utah came from behind to beat.
Air Force over Colorado State, 27-24. Colorado State is improved, but they'll have to wait until next year for a bowl game.
West Virginia over Cincinnati, 38-35. I expect this one to be a close game, but I think the Mountaineers pull it out.
Boston College over Notre Dame, 34-24. In the battle of the Catholics, the snobs of the northeast beat the hard-working farm boys from the midwest. The Irish make a field goal, for the fourth game in a row. If that's not a moral victory for them, I don't know what is.
Big games:
Ohio State over Northwestern, 35-27. The difference in this game, Ohio State's "defense." They will slow down the Wildcats just enough to win this one. This is a different Buckeye team with Prior and Beanie. Prior still makes freshman mistakes, but, then again, he is still a freshman. He'll be OK in a wide open game. This is the Big Ten's best impression of the old-school WAC.
Georgia Tech over North Carolina, 24-13. North Carolina's offense hasn't been all that great this season to begin with, but combine that with a bye week and a great Bumblebee defense, and they may struggle to score. Georgia Tech's offense is starting to take better care of the ball and they can wear you down pretty quick. I see an "upset" in Chapel Hill.
BYU over SDSU, 56-24. I think the defense really has been getting better. They were only responsible for 21 of CSU's 42 points last week. On senior day at LaVell Edwards Stadium, the offense rolls. The defense gives up some big plays, but that's because SDSU isn't afraid to throw it 50 times and you're bound to give up big plays (especially if you are BYU's secondary).
LSU over Alabama, 24-21. I am not sold on Alabama's offense. Conventional wisdom says. Alabama wins, I'm sure Herbie and Corso will pick Bama, as well as all the experts. That's why I'm picking LSU. The defense shows up for once in a big game this season.
Texas Tech over OK State, 34-27. Can we really get a THIRD instant classic from the Big 12 this season? Well, maybe it won't be a classic, but I expect it to actually be a pretty good game. Tech may pull away and score in the 40's, but I don't see the Cowboys taking this one, no way, no how. Next year they've got a shot at the Big 12 South, but not this year. They'll lose to Tech and OU this season still.

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