Tuesday, March 10, 2009

MWC Conference Tourney

Play-in game: Air Force has improved, though the record doesn't show it. Colorado State has pretty much stayed the same, though their record doesn't show it. I think Air Force pulls a DePaul out, and wins for the first time in over 2 months.

First Round: BYU wins easy, easier if its against CSU than Air Force, but neither one will be able to do much, BYU is due to start hitting shots. Utah wins big, but not so easy. Big Luke does well in his first game after being named player of the year. Wyoming puts up a fight, but Steve Alford proves why he DESERVED coach of the year. UNLV pulls out a victory against SDSU, finally.

Second Round (I should probably wait to predict this since I'm probably wrong on at least one first round game): UNLV and its homecourt advantage have knocked BYU out in the championship game the previous two years. I think it good luck for the Cougars they get UNLV in the second round, where BYU pulls out the elusive W against UNLV at UNLV. I'm torn on Utah-New Mexico. These are two teams that are built for tournaments. I think Boylen is holding on too tight, but I think his seniors take the lead and pull out the W. Dandridge will outperform the Aussie and show why he deserved POY honors.

Championship Game: Given my above-mentioned scenario, I believe BYU bows out again in the championship game to rival Utah. Borha and Brown both play great in this game.

Here's my thoughts as to possible outcomes of the championship:

BYU: beats anybody coming out of the other side of the bracket, except Utah
Utah: beats anybody coming out of the other side of the bracket, except host UNLV
New Mexico: beats SDSU, loses to BYU and UNLV
SDSU: needs to see TCU staring at them
UNLV: wins the championship, if they get there
Wyoming: beat SDSU, CSU, or AFA (chances of a tourney championship: 1.78%, based on a very scientific method of calculation)
TCU: hoping for some upsets so they can play CSU or AFA
CSU: not this year, or next year for that matter, and I'm not sure the following year is looking too promising either
AFA: in 16 conference games, they didn't win ONE, how could they possibly string together 4 in a row now?

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