Well it's the day after the MWC and WAC gave in and signed the BCS agreement. They are back to being part of the problem for at least the next 4 years. So I am going to make a BCS prediction today.
#56: the MWC and WAC will not have a representative in the championship game this season. Neither will the Big East or ACC. I know it's not a bold prediction, but I can say with certainty that it's accurate! What I am really saying is: for the foreseeable future (4 years), the BCS is going to choose schools from the Big 12, SEC, Big 10, or USC to play for the National Championship. It is not about being the best team over the course of a season, it is about being one of the best teams over the season AND being one of the best programs over the previous two or three seasons. In college football, you just can't go from 0-12 to 12-0 and National Champion, unfortunate though it may be. Since TCU won a national championship in the 1940's, only 24 different teams have won national championships, only one of them a non-BCS school (BYU in 1984), so it's been a closed club LONG before the BCS came into existence. If Utah went 12-0 again this year, they could get a crack at it: problem is they won't. For a non-BCS school to have a shot, they need to have back-to-back undefeated seasons, the 1st one ending with a BCS bowl victory, and they need to return 16+ starters, including a QB and a defensive captain. What are the odds of that? Well, according to my prediction for this season: ZERO.
Honestly, if Utah did what it did in 2008 back in 1998, they would have played a 5th place Pac 10 nobody in the whocares.com bowl with a tiny payout. They may have gotten the shaft for the NC last year, but it's more money and more exposure than it would have been even 5 years ago. There is progress, just not equality.
Honestly, if Utah did what it did in 2008 back in 1998, they would have played a 5th place Pac 10 nobody in the whocares.com bowl with a tiny payout. They may have gotten the shaft for the NC last year, but it's more money and more exposure than it would have been even 5 years ago. There is progress, just not equality.
What you neglect to see is the "perfect storm" for the BCS. All the big names have 2 losses, and the only undefeated teams come from non-BCS conferences. I know it's not likely, but it's possible.
ReplyDeleteOne other stat to consider: since the AP started naming a national champion in 1936, 17 teams have won all the titles but 11. So it has never been a competition really. And before the BCS no team had any chance of going to the Sugar, Fiesta, Orange, or Rose Bowl from what are now non-BCS conferences--no chance. Now we do. There is no way any MWC teams could play in the big four leagues.
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