CBS Sportsline has 4 guys who pick winners of top 25 games each week. My theory is: all games where the spread is 10 points or less, if they all agree, pick the other team. If they disagree, pick the favorite. So based on my theory the following games should go the following way:
Georgia Tech is a 5.5 point favorite over Virginia: all 4 picked Georgia Tech. Virginia wins. I think this COULD happen.
Pitt is favored by 6.5 over South Florida: all 4 picked Pitt. South Florida should pull off the upset. I am less confident this one will happen, but it would be very Pitt-like to drop this game.
West Virginia by 7.5 over Connecticut: Connecticut wins. I disagree here again, though UConn has shown some grit this season.
OK State by 9.5 over Baylor: Baylor wins. Don't like how this theory is working so far.
Miami by 4.5 over Clemson: Clemson wins. I like this upset pick.
Oklahoma by 7.5 over KU: they disagree, so go with the favorite, OU. Very good choice.
Penn State by 4.5 over Michigan: they disagree, so pick Penn State. I'm torn on this one.
Oregon by 10 over UW: Washington pulls off another upset. I like this as well because UW's D could contain UO, and UO's D might not contain UW's O...
Utah by 9.5 over Air Force: Air Force. This game has been decided by 8 or less points each of the last 4 years, and Air Force won by 8 at Utah two years ago, so I definitely pick Air Force to beat the spread, maybe not the game, but hey, it's just a theory I'm testing this week.
Michigan State and Iowa is set at 0, so I don't have a theory on this. Pick the home team.
LSU by 7.5 over Auburn: Auburn. Could happen. LSU has shown vulnerabilities this year and has already lost at home (to Florida mind you, but I like the flow of Auburn's O over Florida's right now).
TCU by 2.5 over BYU: the CBS boys are split, so go with the favorite, TCU wins on the road. This is certainly a possibility, but I'm not giving away my prediction yet.
No comments:
Post a Comment